Wednesday, December 02, 2009

Season Thoughts- Part 2

Just a quick look at Prediction Thursday- just for accountability sake. 8-4 ATS for the year- raising the all time Prediction Thursday mark to a real good 50-24. The secret? Picked against Tulane five times- won all five. Sigh....

Tulsa -13.5 over Tulane. At the season’s beginning, while I thought Tulane would be better, I didn’t think the defense had improved at all- and Tulsa’s “new” offense would still prove problematic. That turned out correct. WIN

Tulane +17.5 over BYU. I thought Tulane could hang with a BYU in a trap game. I did not realize BYU was a legit Top 15 outfit. LOSS

Tulane -3.5 over McNeese State. McNeese to upset the Wave was a trendy pick even on our own Forums- but the big losses to quality BYU/Tulsa outfits did not necessarily stamp Tulane as horrid. WIN

Tulane +6.5 over Army. Ridiculous to put the Cadets a TD over anyone. Anytime you’re getting more than a FG and you think your team could win outright- take the points and run. Easy pick. WIN

Marshall -3 over Tulane. With two straight wins, Tulane was facing some prosperity. Without much experience in handling success, I figured the Wave could come out flat versus a slightly better Marshall team. Tulane did. WIN

Houston -19 over Tulane: One absolute truism about Tulane football under Coach Toledo is they have no hope whatsoever with hanging with the League’s best teams. Easy pick. WIN

Tulane +21.5 over USM. Found this line ridiculous- USM is simply not as explosive as Houston. Turned out the Wave defense couldn’t stop even mediocre C-USA offenses (see Rice). LOSS

LSU -35 over Tulane. I figured Tulane would score 3. Wrong. WIN

Tulane +7 over UTEP. Just like Army, Tulane could win outright- so the points were just gravy. WIN

Tulane +3 over Rice.
I thought both teams were pretty evenly matched- but Tulane had the classy C-USA tailback. Unfortunately, Rice was better in the second half of the season and Andre was only okay- his bleah season continued. Lost the backdoor cover in final seconds. LOSS

Tulane +22 over UCF. Tulane had back-to-back close League games, games in which they had scored 68 total points- which made the 22 seem generous. Instead, Tulane came out and quit. LOSS.

Tulane +17.5 over SMU. Hard to take the Wave after the UCF disaster- but SMU had zero to play for (Bowl game locked in) and some guys on Tulane’s offense had motivation. I figured the Wave would score three times or more. They did. WIN

Labels: , ,